My commentary in my last mock was fairly lengthy, so I’m going to keep it short this time. If you read the last one, you know what I think about each of these players.
1. Washington Wizards – John Wall PG
2. Philadelphia 76ers – Evan Turner SG
3. New Jersey Nets – Derrick Favors PF
4. Minnesota Timberwolves – DeMarcus Cousins C
5. Sacramento Kings – Wesley Johnson SF
6. Golden State Warriors – Greg Monroe PF/C
7. Detroit Pistons – Ed Davis PF
8. LA Clippers – Al-Farouq Aminu SF
9. Utah Jazz – Luke Babbitt SF
10. Indiana Pacers – Avery Bradley SG/PG
11. New Orleans Hornets – Paul George SF
12. Memphis Grizzlies – Patrick Patterson PF
13. Toronto Raptors – Ekpe Udoh PF
14. Houston Rockets – Cole Aldrich C
15. Milwaukee Bucks – Xavier Henry SG
16. Minnesota Timberwolves – Gordon Hayward SF
17. Chicago Bulls – Larry Sanders PF
18. Oklahoma City – Daniel Orton C
19. Boston Celtics – Dominique Jones SG/PG
20. San Antonio Spurs – Hassan Whiteside C
21. Oklahoma City Thunder – Eric Bledsoe PG
22. Portland Trail Blazers – Damion James SF
23. Minnesota Timberwolves – Elliot Williams SG
24. Atlanta Hawks – Kevin Seraphin PF/C
25. Memphis Grizzlies – Craig Brackins PF
26. Oklahoma City Thunder – Quincy Pondexter SF
27. New Jersey Nets – James Anderson SG
28. Memphis Grizzlies – Mikhail Torrance PG/SG
29. Orlando Magic – Armon Johnson PG
30. Washington Wizards – Jordan Crawford SG
For your on the job sanity. You're welcome. Justin Lovett-Blue Chad Sanders-White Greg D'Arco-Yellow Samson X-Grey
Thursday, June 24, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Chad's Mock 2.0
Chad's Mock 2.0
1. Washington Wizards - John Wall - PG - Kentucky
Wall is the closest prospect to a "sure thing" in this year's draft. The comparisons between Wall and Chicago Bulls point guard Derrick Rose are overdone simply because the league is experiencing an influx of long, athletic point guards right now. Wall supporters who have argued that he is a better shooter than Rose should look no further than their college stats. Rose shot slightly better from the field and the three point line by percentage in his one year stint at Memphis than Wall in his year at Kentucky. This is cause for some concern as Rose is still far from a consistent shooter after two years in the league but has superior athleticism compared to Wall to supplement while he improves. In any case, I think Wall will be 10-15 year starter in the league barring injury, however I do not expect him to be the transcendent force that many have made him out to be.
2. Philadelphia 76ers - Evan Turner - SG/SF - Ohio State
As disappointing a season as the 76ers had in 2009-10, they are a talented, athletic team that may only be one or two pieces away from a playoff run in 2010-11. If trade rumors surrounding the Sixers and their second overall pick are not true, I expect Philadelphia to select Turner who could be the missing piece in the Philly backcourt. Though Turner is slightly less athletic than the ball handling wings that he has earned comparisons to (think Tracy McGrady in Orlando) his ability to score and create for teammates and willingness to take big shots should immediately take scoring pressure off of Iguodala who hasn't exactly lived up to the billing of Franchise Player status.
3. New Jersey Nets - Derrick Favors - PF - Georgia Tech
He might be Dwight Howard, he might be Kwame Brown, he might be Tyrus Thomas. We won't know for another three years, but for now the Nets will keep their fingers crossed.
4. Minnesota Timberwolves - Wesley Johnson - SF - Syracuse
5. Sacramento Kings - DeMarcus Cousins - PF/C - Kentucky
Cousins will be a star at the next level. Often hovering around 20 minutes a game in college, Cousins was still dominant enough to glean SEC Freshman of the Year honors in addition to a first team All-SEC selection and first team All America recognition. Cousins' point and rebound per minute numbers were through the roof and he was just as pivotal to Kentucky's success in 2009-10 as fellow freshman Wall. Cousins will soon be one of the best rebounders in the Western Conference and offensively he should fit right in with his exceptional hands and strong outlet passing. Though many worry about Cousins' weight and body fat percentage I contend that his size will work more to his advantage at the shrinking NBA center position. Cousins' "character issues" have been blown out of proportion in an era where the smiling faces of young stars such as Lebron James and Dwight Howard have cast a negative light on players who play with a mean streak. That mean streak combined with Cousins' exceptional skill, good feet and defensive IQ will provide for a long career for Cousins. Like Tyreke Evans last year, the Sacramento Kings will get a steal with their top five pick this summer.
6. Golden State Warriors - Al-Farouq Aminu - SF/PF - Wake Forest
The Warriors finally got it right with a first round pick taking rookie sensation Stephon Curry with the seventh overall pick last June. This year the Warriors will grab a wingman for Curry and Monta Ellis' up and down scoring fests who can get out on the break and finish as well as add rebounding and toughness to the young team. Aminu is a particularly good fit in that he played in a similarly high octane offense last year alongside athletic, shooting point guard Jeff Teague at Wake where they and Bulls forward James Johnson elevated the team to a top nation ranking at one point. I was even more impressed with Aminu when I watched him dismantle Greg Monroe in a lopsided high school matchup two years ago that was billed to be epic and turned out to be a complete clinic. With a series of one and two dribble pullups as well as fast break dunks and inside post moves Aminu destroyed Monroe on national television culminating in a facial in traffic that left Monroe forever posterized in my mind. Something tells me the Warriors might take a stupid risk on UNC forward Ed Davis who seems to be the second coming of Brandan Wright, another former Tar Heel and failed Warriors pick. Wishful thinking makes the pick Aminu here.
7. Detroit Pistons - Greg Monroe - PF - Georgetown
General Manager Joe Dumars has been one of the most confusing executives in the league as of late. Recently his move to spend near-franchise money on two reserves in Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva has left Pistons fans both perplexed and disappointed. The Pistons are in dire need of a floor leader as Rodney Stuckey hasn't exactly panned out as the point guard of the future he was chosen to be with the 15th overall pick in the 2007 draft. Unfortunately this pick is about ten slots too high for Kentucky guard Eric Bledsoe who may be this draft's most underrated player. I'm putting Greg Monroe here simply because I can't seem to peg him as a logical fit for any of the teams above this pick and yet I can't see him falling out of the top ten. I would feel sorry for Monroe had he not been such a monumental disappointment for the G'town Hoyas over the last two years. On the bright side Monroe has been quoted as saying that best case he'd like to be a Lamar Odom type player in the league. $90 million over ten years and zero all star appearances, can't argue with that kind of career. Let's just move on.
8. Los Angeles Clippers - Paul George - SF - Fresno St.
Some things just make sense. The Clippers have had a gaping hole at the small forward position since the departure of free throw line resident Cory Maggette and have lacked consistent perimeter shooting, well...forever. Enter widely unknown prospect George, a long, athletic small forward in the Rudy Gay mold. George has said himself that he believes he has the ball handling skills to play shooting guard in the NBA if necessary as well as small forward and he has proven his long range shooting touch. George shot 91 percent from the free throw line in his sophomore year, a tremendous asset at the next level.
9. Utah Jazz - Patrick Patterson - PF - Kentucky
Patterson almost certainly would have been drafted higher following his sophomore or freshman seasons at Kentucky but instead chose to return to play for one of the most talented Wildcats teams ever. By opting to do so, Patterson probably forfeited a sizable amount of first year cash but may have guaranteed a much more lucrative career in the long run. Staying at Kentucky and playing in John Calipari's wide open system allowed Patterson to develop range on his jump shot among other developments (24 made three pointers in his junior year versus 0 in his first two seasons). Look for Jerry Sloan and co. to make another safe pick and brace themselves for the almost certain departure of Carlos Boozer at power forward.
10. Indiana Pacers - Xavier Henry - SG - Kansas
In 2009-10 two-guard Brandon Rush had the lowest PER of any player in NBA history who led his team in minutes played for one season. With that said, the Pacers won't be looking to replace Rush with Henry, but rather add depth to a position that currently includes Dahntay Jones and Luther Head. Likewise, Henry also provides much needed insurance for star small forward Danny Granger whose current backup is the talented but oft injured Michael Dunleavy. I see Henry as a quality reserve in the NBA rather than the future star many have predicted him to become.
11. New Orleans Hornets - Ekpe Udoh - PF/C - Baylor
Udoh was one of the pleasant surprises of an exhilarating March Madness in 2010. By leading Baylor in a surprising run to the Elite Eight, Udoh guaranteed his selection as a lottery pick. Udoh's high energy, shot blocking and athleticism will make him a bonafide defender at the next level though he is offensively mainly a finisher. Udoh will benefit greatly from the ability of star point guards Chris Paul and Darren Collison to create in traffic. Udoh will be another quality career reserve of good value at double digits in this draft.
12. Memphis Grizzlies - Ed Davis - PF - UNC
Unfortunately Davis is still mostly a mystery as his sophomore season for the Tarheels, which was expected to be his breakout year, was curtailed by injury. Davis has been compared to every long athletic PF from Amare Stoudemire to Brandan Wright. The Grizzlies have plenty of depth at the guard and small forward positions so they will look to add another explosive rebounder and high flyer down low to complement back to the basket bangers Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol.
13. Toronto Raptors - Luke Babbitt - SG/SF/PF - Nevada
Very seldom do I jump on the bandwagon of a European American (white) draft prospect. This year I'm driving the Babbitt bandwagon. Be it the Dirk Nowitzki hair-do, the trademark jab step, or the insane shooting averages (22 ppg on %50 shooting from the field, %42 from the three-point line and %92 from the charity stripe) this guy strikes me as a sure thing at the next level. At 6'9" and 225 pounds Babbitt has the size to bang bodies in the paint to complement his ridiculous shooting abilities, as evidence by his 9 rebounds per game as a sophomore. Furthermore his flashy style and mean streak should translate to competitive success at the next level. With Demar Derozan and Babbitt flying on the wings, the Raptors' point guard of the future (whomever that may be) will be pleased.
14. Houston Rockets - Cole Aldrich - C - Kansas
The tragic truth is that Yao Ming's career as a dominant player at center may be over. The uber talented Yao has already surpassed most of our expectations for a 7'6" Chinese center who was once compared favorably to Gheorghe Muresan. Now its time for the Rockets to start planning for the future as the team's current center is the offensively handicapped Chuck Hayes. The Rockets have efficient and willing scorers in PG Aaron Brooks, SG Kevin Martin, SF Trevor Ariza and PF Luis Scola, so they don't need a scorer at the position, but simply a non-liability will do. Look for GM Daryl Morey will extend his streak of choosing disciplined and effective non-stars in the draft. Look for Aldrich to use his lottery money to replace his front teeth.
15. Milwaukee Bucks - Avery Bradley - G - Texas
The Bucks had surprising success by adding rookie point guard phenom Brandon Jennings,
savvy, scoring swingman John Salmons and rookie head coach Scott Skiles to a healthy and productive Andrew Bogut. Bradley will replace longtime incumbent Michael Redd at shooting guard who has suffered career threatening injuries in each of the past few seasons. Redd will depart as a free-agent this summer leaving Bradley the opportunity to become the team's new go-to long range shooter. Bradley only stands 6'3" but boasts 6'7" wingspan that should allow him to play both guard positions as a pro. Defensively Bradley is quick and disruptive, a bonus to his extensive offensive repertoire that include the best shooting stroke of any player in this draft.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves - Gordon Hayward - SF - Butler
Though I fully expect Wolves GM David Kahn to trade this pick either to move up into the top four or to help add an already proven veteran, I can't see Hayward falling any further after his NCAA heroics of just three months ago. Hayward will still be a project as he needs to add muscle to his slight 6'9", 211 pound frame and toughness to his mostly finesse playing style. Likewise, to have any success at the next level, Hayward will have to improve on his long range shooting as his 3-point shooting percentage inexplicably fell from 45 % in his freshman year to 29% as a sophomore. In any case, the Wolves will likely either trade this pick or look for overseas help at point guard (just kidding... kind of).
17. Washington Wizards - James Anderson - SG - Oklahoma State
With the trade in place for Hinrich, Wizards should go after players that can finish Wall's passes. James Anderson was one of the best scorers in the country.
18. Oklahoma City Thunder - Daniel Orton - C - Kentucky
The Thunder will leap at the chance to add a young and talented post player to compete for backup minutes behind starter Nenad Krystic. It's a very simple job for Orton. Set screens for Kevin Durant, throw outlet passes to Russell Westbrook, get out of the way and collect your paycheck.
19. Boston Celtics - Hassan Whiteside - PF/C - Marshall
The Celtics will continue to harp on toughness and shot blocking by adding the reigning NCAA leader in blocks. Whiteside and his 7'7" wingspan denied 5.4 attempts a game in just 26 minutes per contest while improving offensively throughout the season.
20. San Antonio Spurs - Kevin Seraphin - C - Guyana
Seraphin is the highest rated foreign prospect. The Spurs are the Spurs. Let's not outthink ourselves.
21. Oklahoma City Thunder - Damion James - F - Texas
Genius GM Sam Presti and the Oklahoma City Thunder grab another league-ready, underrated commodity in James. Likewise, the Thunder add a backup flex forward for all-world superstar Kevin Durant as well one of only two projected first rounders who averaged a double-double collegiately last season.
22. Portland Trailblazers - Elliott Williams - SG - Memphis
After leaving Duke following his freshman year Williams showed the country what he could do as the primary scorer in a more free wheeling offense. Williams averaged 18 points per contest including several highlight dunks like this one from his one year at Duke. Williams' athleticism combined with a scorer's mentality should provide the Trailblazers with a serviceable backup to all-star Brandon Roy as current backup Rudy Fernandez has expressed an interest to leave Portland this offseason.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves - Larry Sanders - C - VCU
Sanders is a project at this slot in the draft. Many have noted that Sanders did not begin playing organized basketball until high school which leads scouts to believe that his ceiling for improvement is very high. I see Sanders in the D-league. No relation, by the way.
24. Atlanta Hawks - Dominique Jones - G - South Florida
Jones is probably the most explosive scorer in this draft and one of my favorite prospects. Jones averaged 21.4 ppg as a junior at South Florida including consecutive games of 46, 28, 37 and 29 point performances during a four-game Bulls winning streak capped by victories over Big East stalwarts Pittsburgh and Georgetown. The Hawks will be losing perennial leading scorer and starting shooting guard Joe Johnson to free-agency this summer and will be elated to welcome the streaky and uber-competitive Jones to the mix.
25. Memphis Grizzlies - Eric Bledsoe - PG - Kentucky
Bledsoe is another one of my favorite guys on the board. Bledsoe entered his sole college season as a highly touted and intensely recruited point guard out of Alabama that could have acted as the starting point guard, if not focal point, of just about any NCAA offense. By opting to go to Kentucky, Bledsoe did so with the understanding that he would be playing off guard as a complement to all-world point guard John Wall. Though Bledsoe was statistically outshined by fellow Wildcats Patterson, Cousins and Wall, he cemented his status as a future pro by showing off other assets of his game including his incredible athleticism, relentless on-ball defense and consistent outside shooting touch. Kentucky coach John Calipari often went out of his way to remind the media that Bledsoe was one of his fiercest competitors and rightfully so. Mike Conley's new backup will give him fits in Grizzlies practices.
26. Oklahoma City Thunder - Stanley Robinson - SF/PF - Connecticut
'Length' and 'athleticism' are words that swirl around Thunder draft picks each year. Incidentally these are always the first two words associated with Robinson. Unfortunately, for his entire college career the third word was always 'potential'.
27. New Jersey Nets - Armon Johnson - G - Nevada
The Knicks have explicitly expressed interest in moving into the first round to take Johnson, a tweener guard who shot less than 24 percent from the college three-point line in his Robin season to Luke Babbitt's Batman at Nevada. Add that he averaged less than one steal a game in 35 minutes of play. Sounds like a winner. Not.
28. Memphis Grizzlies - Jordan Crawford - G - Xavier
Crawford is a high percentage shooter and high octane scorer as either a wing or a big point guard. Crawford proved to be gutsy crunch time performer on a national stage with awe inspiring late-game play in the NCAA tournament. Mock drafts are a total crap shoot at this point and Crawford was one of my favorite college players in 2009-10.
29. Orlando Magic - Lance Stephenson - G/F - Cincinnati
Stephenson will be a much better pro than he was college player for his single season at Cincinnati. You heard it here first.
30. Washington Wizards - Solomon Alabi - C - Florida State
At this point in the draft teams are throwing darts in the dark. Alabi has the physical gifts to be a goal protector on the defensive end but seriously lacks offensive prowess. Alabi, much like the Wizards, is a work in progress.
Monday, June 14, 2010
Image of the Week
The lead story of game four of the NBA Finals was the Celtics bench outplaying the entire Lakers team. Anyone watching will never forget Big Baby Davis celebrating an and one, with a flex and slobber. Truly unforgettable...
P.S. Can Nate Robinson look any smaller?
P.S. Can Nate Robinson look any smaller?
Friday, June 4, 2010
Chad's Mock 1.0
Chad's Mock 1.0
1. Washington Wizards - John Wall - PG - Kentucky
Wall is the closest prospect to a "sure thing" in this year's draft. The comparisons between Wall and Chicago Bulls point guard Derrick Rose are overdone simply because the league is experiencing an influx of long, athletic point guards right now. Wall supporters who have argued that he is a better shooter than Rose should look no further than their college stats. Rose shot slightly better from the field and the three point line by percentage in his one year stint at Memphis than Wall in his year at Kentucky. This is cause for some concern as Rose is still far from a consistent shooter after two years in the league but has superior athleticism compared to Wall to supplement while he improves. In any case, I think Wall will be 10-15 year starter in the league barring injury, however I do not expect him to be the transcendent force that many have made him out to be.
2. Philadelphia 76ers - Evan Turner - SG/SF - Ohio State
As disappointing a season as the 76ers had in 2009-10, they are a talented, athletic team that may only be one or two pieces away from a playoff run in 2010-11. If trade rumors surrounding the Sixers and their second overall pick are not true, I expect Philadelphia to select Turner who could be the missing piece in the Philly backcourt. Though Turner is slightly less athletic than the ball handling wings that he has earned comparisons to (think Tracy McGrady in Orlando) his ability to score and create for teammates and willingness to take big shots should immediately take scoring pressure off of Iguodala who hasn't exactly lived up to the billing of Franchise Player status.
3. New Jersey Nets - Derrick Favors - PF - Georgia Tech
Living in Atlanta the past 4 years I have had plenty of opportunities to watch Favors play both in high school and at GT for his one and done season. Each time I watched Favors I was more blown away by his young-Dwight Howard like athleticism and less impressed by his skill level. Favors has been compared to Amare Stoudemire for his ability to catch and finish around the rim with contact but has shown little ability to put it on the floor like Stoudemire. Offensively I liken Favors more to Howard as he is much more useful in constant motion when he can catch and go straight up. Defensively Favors is still very raw but his uncanny athleticism alone makes him an interesting pick. The offseason addition of a superstar with good court vision such as Lebron James or Dwyane Wade to the Nets will make or break Favors' career.
4. Minnesota Timberwolves - Wesley Johnson - SF - Syracuse
T'Wolves General Manager David Kahn is under pressure to rectify the mess that he created in his first Minnesota. By passing on first year stars Brandon Jennings and Stephen Curry in the 2009 draft and instead taking Jonny Flynn and Ricky Rubio who has yet to join the team in the United States. That being said, it would seem that Kahn taking Kentucky freshman Demarcus Cousins with the fourth pick in this year's draft is out of the question given his overly-documented "character flaws". The pick here is Johnson, a more skilled/less athletic version of Shawn Marion with similar finishing, lane filling ability. Johnson can fit into any type of offense given his long shooting range, ability to finish in traffic and high basketball IQ. Defensively Johnson can create problems with his long arms and quick jumping ability. Point guard Johnny Flynn should be thrilled with this pick.
5. Sacramento Kings - DeMarcus Cousins - PF/C - Kentucky
Cousins will be a star at the next level. Often hovering around 20 minutes a game in college, Cousins was still dominant enough to glean SEC Freshman of the Year honors in addition to a first team All-SEC selection and first team All America recognition. Cousins' point and rebound per minute numbers were through the roof and he was just as pivotal to Kentucky's success in 2009-10 as fellow freshman Wall. Cousins will soon be one of the best rebounders in the Western Conference and offensively he should fit right in with his exceptional hands and strong outlet passing. Though many worry about Cousins' weight and body fat percentage I contend that his size will work more to his advantage at the shrinking NBA center position. Cousins' "character issues" have been blown out of proportion in an era where the smiling faces of young stars such as Lebron James and Dwight Howard have cast a negative light on players who play with a mean streak. That mean streak combined with Cousins' exceptional skill, good feet and defensive IQ will provide for a long career for Cousins. Like Tyreke Evans last year, the Sacramento Kings will get a steal with their top five pick this summer.
6. Golden State Warriors - Al-Farouq Aminu - SF/PF - Wake Forest
The Warriors finally got it right with a first round pick taking rookie sensation Stephon Curry with the seventh overall pick last June. This year the Warriors will grab a wingman for Curry and Monta Ellis' up and down scoring fests who can get out on the break and finish as well as add rebounding and toughness to the young team. Aminu is a particularly good fit in that he played in a similarly high octane offense last year alongside athletic, shooting point guard Jeff Teague at Wake where they and Bulls forward James Johnson elevated the team to a top nation ranking at one point. I was even more impressed with Aminu when I watched him dismantle Greg Monroe in a lopsided high school matchup two years ago that was billed to be epic and turned out to be a complete clinic. With a series of one and two dribble pullups as well as fast break dunks and inside post moves Aminu destroyed Monroe on national television culminating in a facial in traffic that left Monroe forever posterized in my mind. Something tells me the Warriors might take a stupid risk on UNC forward Ed Davis who seems to be the second coming of Brandan Wright, another former Tar Heel and failed Warriors pick. Wishful thinking makes the pick Aminu here.
7. Detroit Pistons - Greg Monroe - PF - Georgetown
General Manager Joe Dumars has been one of the most confusing executives in the league as of late. Recently his move to spend near-franchise money on two reserves in Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva has left Pistons fans both perplexed and disappointed. The Pistons are in dire need of a floor leader as Rodney Stuckey hasn't exactly panned out as the point guard of the future he was chosen to be with the 15th overall pick in the 2007 draft. Unfortunately this pick is about ten slots too high for Kentucky guard Eric Bledsoe who may be this draft's most underrated player. I'm putting Greg Monroe here simply because I can't seem to peg him as a logical fit for any of the teams above this pick and yet I can't see him falling out of the top ten. I would feel sorry for Monroe had he not been such a monumental disappointment for the G'town Hoyas over the last two years. On the bright side Monroe has been quoted as saying that best case he'd like to be a Lamar Odom type player in the league. $90 million over ten years and zero all star appearances, can't argue with that kind of career. Let's just move on.
8. Los Angeles Clippers - Paul George - SF - Fresno St.
Some things just make sense. The Clippers have had a gaping hole at the small forward position since the departure of free throw line resident Cory Maggette and have lacked consistent perimeter shooting, well...forever. Enter widely unknown prospect George, a long, athletic small forward in the Rudy Gay mold. George has said himself that he believes he has the ball handling skills to play shooting guard in the NBA if necessary as well as small forward and he has proven his long range shooting touch. George shot 91 percent from the free throw line in his sophomore year, a tremendous asset at the next level.
9. Utah Jazz - Patrick Patterson - PF - Kentucky
Patterson almost certainly would have been drafted higher following his sophomore or freshman seasons at Kentucky but instead chose to return to play for one of the most talented Wildcats teams ever. By opting to do so, Patterson probably forfeited a sizable amount of first year cash but may have guaranteed a much more lucrative career in the long run. Staying at Kentucky and playing in John Calipari's wide open system allowed Patterson to develop range on his jump shot among other developments (24 made three pointers in his junior year versus 0 in his first two seasons). Look for Jerry Sloan and co. to make another safe pick and brace themselves for the almost certain departure of Carlos Boozer at power forward.
10. Indiana Pacers - Xavier Henry - SG - Kansas
In 2009-10 two-guard Brandon Rush had the lowest PER of any player in NBA history who led his team in minutes played for one season. With that said, the Pacers won't be looking to replace Rush with Henry, but rather add depth to a position that currently includes Dahntay Jones and Luther Head. Likewise, Henry also provides much needed insurance for star small forward Danny Granger whose current backup is the talented but oft injured Michael Dunleavy. I see Henry as a quality reserve in the NBA rather than the future star many have predicted him to become.
11. New Orleans Hornets - Ekpe Udoh - PF/C - Baylor
Udoh was one of the pleasant surprises of an exhilarating March Madness in 2010. By leading Baylor in a surprising run to the Elite Eight, Udoh guaranteed his selection as a lottery pick. Udoh's high energy, shot blocking and athleticism will make him a bonafide defender at the next level though he is offensively mainly a finisher. Udoh will benefit greatly from the ability of star point guards Chris Paul and Darren Collison to create in traffic. Udoh will be another quality career reserve of good value at double digits in this draft.
12. Memphis Grizzlies - Ed Davis - PF - UNC
Unfortunately Davis is still mostly a mystery as his sophomore season for the Tarheels, which was expected to be his breakout year, was curtailed by injury. Davis has been compared to every long athletic PF from Amare Stoudemire to Brandan Wright. The Grizzlies have plenty of depth at the guard and small forward positions so they will look to add another explosive rebounder and high flyer down low to complement back to the basket bangers Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol.
13. Toronto Raptors - Luke Babbitt - SG/SF/PF - Nevada
Very seldom do I jump on the bandwagon of a European American (white) draft prospect. This year I'm driving the Babbitt bandwagon. Be it the Dirk Nowitzki hair-do, the trademark jab step, or the insane shooting averages (22 ppg on %50 shooting from the field, %42 from the three-point line and %92 from the charity stripe) this guy strikes me as a sure thing at the next level. At 6'9" and 225 pounds Babbitt has the size to bang bodies in the paint to complement his ridiculous shooting abilities, as evidence by his 9 rebounds per game as a sophomore. Furthermore his flashy style and mean streak should translate to competitive success at the next level. With Demar Derozan and Babbitt flying on the wings, the Raptors' point guard of the future (whomever that may be) will be pleased.
14. Houston Rockets - Cole Aldrich - C - Kansas
The tragic truth is that Yao Ming's career as a dominant player at center may be over. The uber talented Yao has already surpassed most of our expectations for a 7'6" Chinese center who was once compared favorably to Gheorghe Muresan. Now its time for the Rockets to start planning for the future as the team's current center is the offensively handicapped Chuck Hayes. The Rockets have efficient and willing scorers in PG Aaron Brooks, SG Kevin Martin, SF Trevor Ariza and PF Luis Scola, so they don't need a scorer at the position, but simply a non-liability will do. Look for GM Daryl Morey will extend his streak of choosing disciplined and effective non-stars in the draft. Look for Aldrich to use his lottery money to replace his front teeth.
15. Milwaukee Bucks - Avery Bradley - G - Texas
The Bucks had surprising success by adding rookie point guard phenom Brandon Jennings, savvy, scoring swingman John Salmons and rookie head coach Scott Skiles to a healthy and productive Andrew Bogut. Bradley will replace longtime incumbent Michael Redd at shooting guard who has suffered career threatening injuries in each of the past few seasons. Redd will depart as a free-agent this summer leaving Bradley the opportunity to become the team's new go-to long range shooter. Bradley only stands 6'3" but boasts 6'7" wingspan that should allow him to play both guard positions as a pro. Defensively Bradley is quick and disruptive, a bonus to his extensive offensive repertoire that include the best shooting stroke of any player in this draft.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves - Gordon Hayward - SF - Butler
Though I fully expect Wolves GM David Kahn to trade this pick either to move up into the top four or to help add an already proven veteran, I can't see Hayward falling any further after his NCAA heroics of just three months ago. Hayward will still be a project as he needs to add muscle to his slight 6'9", 211 pound frame and toughness to his mostly finesse playing style. Likewise, to have any success at the next level, Hayward will have to improve on his long range shooting as his 3-point shooting percentage inexplicably fell from 45 % in his freshman year to 29% as a sophomore. In any case, the Wolves will likely either trade this pick or look for overseas help at point guard (just kidding... kind of).
17. Chicago Bulls - James Anderson - SG - Oklahoma State
After Ben Gordon's untimely departure in free agency, the Bulls sorely lacked outside shooting to allow blur Derrick Rose freedom to drive the lane unmolested. Opposing teams simply packed in defenses knowing that Rose, who would undoubtedly beat his man, would run into a sea of help-side defenders. Enter Anderson, the 2009-10 Big 12 Player of the Year and a dangerous outside shooter. The addition of Anderson will enable the Bulls to play Rose with a natural two guard rather than alongside fellow point guard Kirk Hinrich.
18. Miami Heat - Damion James - SF - Texas
Currently Quentin Richardson sits atop the Miami depth chart at small forward. Welcome to South Beach Mr. James.
19. Boston Celtics - Hassan Whiteside - PF/C - Marshall
The Celtics will continue to harp on toughness and shot blocking by adding the reigning NCAA leader in blocks. Whiteside and his 7'7" wingspan denied 5.4 attempts a game in just 26 minutes per contest while improving offensively throughout the season.
20. San Antonio Spurs - Kevin Seraphin - C - Guyana
Seraphin is the highest rated foreign prospect. The Spurs are the Spurs. Let's not outthink ourselves.
21. Oklahoma City Thunder - Daniel Orton - C - Kentucky
The Thunder will leap at the chance to add a young and talented post player to compete for backup minutes behind starter Nenad Krystic. It's a very simple job for Orton. Set screens for Kevin Durant, throw outlet passes to Russell Westbrook, get out of the way and collect your paycheck.
22. Portland Trailblazers - Elliott Williams - SG - Memphis
After leaving Duke following his freshman year Williams showed the country what he could do as the primary scorer in a more free wheeling offense. Williams averaged 18 points per contest including several highlight dunks like this one from his one year at Duke. Williams' athleticism combined with a scorer's mentality should provide the Trailblazers with a serviceable backup to all-star Brandon Roy as current backup Rudy Fernandez has expressed an interest to leave Portland this offseason.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves - Solomon Alabi - C - Florida State
The T'wolves current depth at center includes such household names as Darko Milicic, Ryan Hollins and Nathan Jawai. Needless to say it's time to add some young talent. Alabi has a 7'5'' winsgspan and gets off the ground quickly as an energetic and willing rebounder and shotblocker.
24. Atlanta Hawks - Dominique Jones - G - South Florida
Jones is probably the most explosive scorer in this draft and one of my favorite prospects. Jones averaged 21.4 ppg as a junior at South Florida including consecutive games of 46, 28, 37 and 29 point performances during a four-game Bulls winning streak capped by victories over Big East stalwarts Pittsburgh and Georgetown. The Hawks will be losing perennial leading scorer and starting shooting guard Joe Johnson to free-agency this summer and will be elated to welcome the streaky and uber-competitive Jones to the mix.
25. Memphis Grizzlies - Eric Bledsoe - PG - Kentucky
Bledsoe is another one of my favorite guys on the board. Bledsoe entered his sole college season as a highly touted and intensely recruited point guard out of Alabama that could have acted as the starting point guard, if not focal point, of just about any NCAA offense. By opting to go to Kentucky, Bledsoe did so with the understanding that he would be playing off guard as a complement to all-world point guard John Wall. Though Bledsoe was statistically outshined by fellow Wildcats Patterson, Cousins and Wall, he cemented his status as a future pro by showing off other assets of his game including his incredible athleticism, relentless on-ball defense and consistent outside shooting touch. Kentucky coach John Calipari often went out of his way to remind the media that Bledsoe was one of his fiercest competitors and rightfully so. Mike Conley's new backup will give him fits in Grizzlies practices.
26. Oklahoma City Thunder - Stanley Robinson - SF/PF - Connecticut
'Length' and 'athleticism' are words that swirl around Thunder draft picks each year. Incidentally these are always the first two words associated with Robinson. Unfortunately, for his entire college career the third word was always 'potential'.
27. New Jersey Nets - Willie Warren - G - Oklahoma
The Nets are starving for offense among other important things such as defense, shooting, and talent. Warren was mostly a disappointment as the crux of the Oklahoma offense following a stellar freshman year alongside 2009 first overall pick Blake Griffin. Perhaps Warren can right the ship playing with more talented players at the next level similar to his freshman campaign. Wait...Nets...scratch that.
28. Memphis Grizzlies - Jordan Crawford - G - Xavier
Crawford is a high percentage shooter and high octane scorer as either a wing or a big point guard. Crawford proved to be gutsy crunch time performer on a national stage with awe inspiring late-game play in the NCAA tournament. Mock drafts are a total crap shoot at this point and Crawford was one of my favorite college players in 2009-10.
29. Orlando Magic - Lance Stephenson - G/F - Cincinnati
Stephenson will be a much better pro than he was college player for his single season at Cincinnati. You heard it here first.
30. Washington Wizards - Gani Lawal - PF/C - Georgia Tech
Lawal outplayed top-3 lock Derrick Favors in every conceivable phase of the game in their season together at GT. Lawal was the Yellow Jackets' toughest player as well as go-to scorer, leading rebounder and best low post defender. All things considered, somehow Favors will still make about 4 times Lawal's salary next season given the current rookie salary scale. Funny how these things play out.
Tuesday, June 1, 2010
NBA Mock Draft 2.0
Mock Draft 2.0
1. Washington Wizards – John Wall PG Kentucky
This pick doesn’t come as a surprise. As they say, this is a point guard’s league, so why not take the guy that Flip Saunders said will “revolutionize the position.”
Wall is the complete package…He’s a great athlete, he possesses the leadership skills you need in a point guard, he is willing to play hard on the defensive end, he doesn’t have character issues and he has a personality the fans will love.
2. Philadelphia 76ers – Evan Turner SG/SF Ohio St
As I have previously stated, this is my favorite player in the draft. I am 100% sure Evan Turner will go number 2 in the draft, I’m just not sold that the 76ers will be the team drafting him. The 76ers have a bigger need in the paint and Cousins would be the better long term solution. Derrick Favors would also be a better fit for the 76ers. In any case, whether the 76ers keep the pick or trade it, Evan Turner will be the second player selected in this years draft.
3. New Jersey Nets – Derrick Favors PF/C Georgia Tech
I’m going to be honest…I’m not a fan of Derrick Favors. His stats do not impress me, when I watched him play he did not impress me, his personality is boring and he is unproven. But with all that being said, he is still the youngest player in the draft with plenty of time to develop his skills. Defensively I think he is NBA ready, but offensively he scares me. He has all the physical tools to be a very successful player in the NBA, he just has to develop his skills. His maximum jumping reach is 12’, which is scary. I’m beginning to think this guy could be a reincarnation of Dwight Howard. His defensive expertise should compliment Brook Lopez very well.
4. Minnesota Timberwolves – Wesley Johnson SF Syracuse
My poor wolves, we just can’t win. Last year we were one pick away from getting Tyreke Evans and this year we didn’t win the lottery or get the second pick. All is not lost. There is plenty of talent in this draft and we have a lot of needs to address. In my last mock I had Aminu here but his interviews haven’t been going great and he did not test as well as expected at the combine. On the flip side Wesley Johnson tested great and his interviews have been going well. So until these guys start working out against each other, I have Wes Johnson going 4th.
5. Sacramento Kings – DeMarcus Cousins C Kentucky
DeMarcus Cousins is an interesting prospect. He completely dominated in college, almost to the point where he stole the show from John Wall. He tested great at the combine, the only worry people have is his weight in the future. He currently weighs around 290 lbs but claims he is on a strict diet and plans to lose more weight. I don’t doubt his dedication to losing the weight but it is only natural to question if he will be able to keep his weight down throughout his career. Outside of his weight, he has character issues. Even though he typically appears to be all smiles, that is only when things are going his way. Stick him on a bad team and you have to wonder, how will he react over the course of an 82 game season? Cousins has the talent to be the number 2 pick but I think his weight and attitude will cost him. If Cousins matures, I think we are looking at a future all-star.
6. Golden State Warriors – Greg Monroe PF/C Georgetown
Stephen Curry is the future of the Golden State Warriors and probably the only player that isn’t on the trading block. This is a team that is fun to watch but will never win anything with the current roster they have. The Warriors need help in the paint area but must have a guy that fits their system. Greg Monroe can play both the power forward and center positions. Scouts have tagged him as not being as athletic as you would like but no one can deny his exceptional ball handling and passing skills. Monroe would be an immediate upgrade. This is almost too good to be true.
7. Detroit Pistons – Ekpe Udoh PF/C Baylor
In my last mock I had Cole Aldrich here but after the combine, I realized guys like him don’t get drafted this high. He has too many question marks…Will his offensive game ever develop?…Was he only good because he was surrounded by great talent?...Lacking athleticism, can he still be a dominant shot blocker in the NBA?...Where is his missing front tooth?...Just too many questions. As his stock falls, others are on the rise and one is Ekpe Udoh. Ekpe like Cole, is known for his defense but he also is very athletic and isn’t missing any teeth. Udoh grabbed my attention throughout the season, posting solid numbers but after watching him in the tournament, I was sold. I think he will develop into a very good player.
8. LA Clippers – Al-Farouq Aminu SF/PF Wake Forest
The LA Clippers are a team to pay close attention to next season. They have the money to sign a big named free agent this summer. They have a talented roster and can go in many directions. One glaring need is a small forward. Right now I have Aminu’s stock slipping and if he doesn’t impress scouts in his workouts, he very well could still be on the board at pick number 8. If he happens to still be here the Clippers should waste no time selecting him. I am unclear about Aminu’s immediate impact but I think long term he is a sure thing. He has all the tools, a good head on his shoulders and a strong work ethic.
9. Utah Jazz – Patrick Patterson PF Kentucky
There has been speculation that the Jazz want Greg Monroe. I think he would be a good fit with them, but unfortunately for them I don’t think he will be available. The Jazz usually go with hard working, proven, mature, unselfish guys, so who better than Patrick Patterson. He is full of talent and after taking a backseat this season, he is still wowing scouts as he displays his all around game. If Boozer is what the Jazz liked, then they should love Patterson. He is strong, athletic, has a nice mid range game but doesn’t mind banging in the paint.
10. Indiana Pacers – Avery Bradley PG/SG Texas
This pick may come as a bit of a surprise and quite frankly I wasn’t really comfortable making this choice. In a lottery driven by power forwards and centers, I would think the Pacers would go after an athletic big man. Contrary to what I believe, many analysts say point guard is the Pacers biggest need. This wouldn’t be an issue if the Pacers draft either J’rue Holiday, Darren Collison, Ty Lawson or Jeff Teague last year, but instead they fell in love with Tyler Hansbourogh and now they need a point guard and still haven’t solved their issues in the paint. Way to go Larry Bird. Since point guard is the need, and besides Wall, there aren’t any lottery worthy point guards, the Pacers will have to reach again. Avery Bradley is quite a player and recently has seen his stock boom. Right now he has more of a shooting guard’s mentality but that isn’t anything that can’t be corrected in the future.
11. New Orleans Hornets – Cole Aldrich C Kansas
Last year Cole Aldrich was projected to be a top 5 pick in this draft. When you look at his numbers, you can’t really argue with that. But once you actually see him play, you wonder if his game will translate to the NBA. Don’t get me wrong, Cole still belongs in the lottery but I wouldn’t take him before pick 8. I think the Hornets would be a good situation for Aldrich. He wouldn’t be asked to start right away, giving him time to develop and polish his game. As a role player, he may be ready to contribute this year.
12. Memphis Grizzlies – Ed Davis PF UNC
The Memphis Grizzlies made tremendous strides this season and almost landed a playoff spot. It is important that they continue to build and develop their young core. If Rudy Gay decides to bail for more money this offseason, the Grizzlies will have a hole to fill on the wing. I think that hole should be filled by another veteran, so free agency is the way to go. A back up point guard would be nice but there are none worthy at this pick. If Ed Davis is still on the board at 12 the Grizzlies should grab him and prep him for life after Zach Randolph.
13. Toronto Raptors – Hassan Whiteside C Marshall
Hassan Whiteside is the most intriguing player in the draft to me. His potential is unbelievable but he still has a lot of question marks. His length (7’7” wingspan), athleticism and shot blocking ability (5.4 blks per game this season) will get him on the court but if he ever develops his offensive game he could be a future all-star. To me he is the ultimate boom or bust pick of this years draft. The Toronto Raptors will most likely lose Chris Bosh to free agency this year, so they need to start preparing for that. With Bosh gone they have no choice but to address the C/PF position. Whiteside by no means is ready to be a major contributor this season but he and Andrea Bargnani could make a nice combo in the future.
14. Houston Rockets – Luke Babbitt SF Nevada
Luke Babbitt is the winner of the 2010 NBA Combine. He recently has seen his stock rise as scouts really analyze his game. The guy is a flat out scorer and has a very polished offensive game. He is 6’8 and is much more athletic than anyone imagined, leading people to believe he could be a solid defender at the next level. Babbitt is relatively new to me, since he played at Nevada I didn’t get to watch him very much. Even with his 37” vertical, I’m not ready to jump on the bandwagon. I think Babbitt has the potential to be a solid role player for Rockets. His size and scoring ability will add much needed depth to their bench.
15. Milwaukee Bucks – Xavier Henry SG Kansas
Sleeper alert! I am guaranteeing that if Xavier Henry falls to the Bucks, he will be a future all-star. Despite statistics at Kansas, Henry can flat out play. Unlike most draft prospects, he already has a NBA ready body. He also has a high basketball IQ and is lethal from outside. If he is blessed to have Brandon Jennings as his point guard, he will be an impact player in this league.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves – James Anderson SG OK St
James Anderson is another prospect that can plain and simple score the basketball. I would argue that he is the best pure scorer in the draft. He is 6’5 and none of his measurements blow you away and neither will his athleticism but his 22 points per game, 2 three pointers made per game and 81% free throw shooting didn’t happen by accident. The Timberwolves are really lacking quality players on the wing and if they can grab Wes Johnson and then come back and grab James Anderson, consider this a successful draft.
17. Chicago Bulls – Donatas Motiejunas PF/C International
To be honest, I know very little about this prospect. I know he is about 6’11, he plays power forward, he likes to play on the wing rather than in the paint, and his stock is falling. I wonder if his stock is falling or if other people’s are just rising. I know last year scouts projected he would be a top 5 pick this year. So much for that…He sounds like he could be like most Euro big men. His ceiling is Dirk Nowitzki but he is probably closer to Andrea Bargnani. If he is doesn’t pan out at all, we can call him Darko 2.0. For his sake I hope he is like Bargnani because I already know he won’t be like Dirk. There have been so many players compared to Dirk or heralded as the next Dirk but we have yet to actually have a next Dirk. In the future, the Bulls can use his size and perimeter scoring to stretch the floor.
18. Miami Heat – Daniel Orton C Kentucky
Daniel Orton is an interesting prospect. If you look at his numbers, you might ask why was he invited to the combine, never mind be considered a first round pick. Potential, potential, potential…To be fair, Orton didn’t play very much at Kentucky and it wasn’t because he’s not capable, but because he was playing behind DeMarcus Cousins. Orton’s game is defense. He eats up space, clogs the lane and protects the basketball hoop. I think Orton is a “what you see is what you get” kind of player. I don’t ever expect him to be much on offense but his intensity and defensive awareness can be game changing one day. Thankfully for the Heat they no longer have to over pay Jermaine O’Neil, so Orton could see the floor earlier than expected.
19. Boston Celtics – Paul George SF/PF Fresno St
Paul George is an impressive prospect who has done only the right things since the draft process started. He is a 6’8 small forward with a long wingspan. Offensively he is an impressive shooter. He averaged 2 made three pointers last year while averaging 42% from the field. He is very athletic and thus far has looked very smooth in his workouts. A player like George has a high ceiling because of the unique skills he has and his ability to spread the floor. If he continues to impress in his workouts, some say he could go as early as late lottery. It is no secret that the Celtics are an aged group. It is time for them to start adding talented youth to their team so Rondo has something to play with in the future.
20. San Antonio Spurs – Gordon Hayward SF Butler
I know there is a lot of hype surrounding Gordon Hayward but I think he should be drafted in the 17-23 range. If he goes to San Antonio, I think he will go to a great situation. The Spurs need to change the makeup of their roster and add some youth. Offensively Gordon has a lot of skills any coach would like. At 6’8, he has great size to play the small forward position. His basketball IQ is off the charts and you have to love his passion for the game. He possesses the quickness to get to the lane and has an impressive mid range jump shot. His 3 points shooting percentage dropped since his freshmen year but I think that is because defenses put more of a focus on shutting him down. In the NBA he will get plenty of open shots as a role player. He is only 20 years old and has plenty of time to develop. Sitting behind Richard Jefferson for a couple years should be good for him.
21. OKC Thunder – Larry Sanders PF/C VCU
The VCU standout, Larry Sanders, has seen his stock take a slight dive since the combine. There have been reports that he is not the high leaper that many expected. Regardless of his vertical he still is 6’10 and has a long 7’5’’ wingspan. He was an effective rebounder and shot eraser in college and he is projected to do the same in the NBA. Sanders would be another athlete with solid defensive awareness the Thunder can add to their roster. His size is much need in the paint area and his shot blocking ability will put him in the rotation early.
22. Portland Trailblazers – Damion James SF Texas
At 22, Damion James is probably one of the oldest prospects in the draft. The good news is that with his age he has plenty of experience. This year he displayed his knack for scoring and rebounding. He often displayed his heart and determination when his team was struggling but he never quit. It is safe to say he was the best player on a team that didn’t come anywhere close to living up to expectations. What that says about him, I am not sure but I do know he is very skilled and can be a solid role player at the next level.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves – Solomon Alabi C Florida St
Solomon is a very large individual. As far as his skills, he is still a major project. I say think Hasheem Thabeet, maybe even less skilled. The good news for Solomon is that he hasn’t been playing basketball very long, so he still learning the game. The only thing he really stands out at doing is shot blocking. He is a poor rebounder for his size and not much of an offensive threat. The Timberwolves have three first round picks, so if they hit on the first two they can afford to take a chance on a guy like Alabi. If anything his shot blocking ability would add a totally new dimension to the team. I don’t see Solomon being ready to play for at least three years but he has the ability to be an elite shot blocker.
24. Atlanta Hawks – Kevin Seraphin C International
This is another international prospect that I know very little about. From what I gather, Seraphin is a 6’10 French super athlete. He is only 20 years old and lacks experience. Seraphin is a strong rebounder and is one of those low risk, high reward type of picks. Many believe that with experience he will blossom into quite a player.
25. Memphis Grizzlies – Eric Bledsoe PG Kentucky
In my opinion Eric Bledsoe came out too early. I think he could have used another year of college basketball to develop his skills. Bledsoe is interesting to evaluate because even though he played a lot of minutes, he was essentially playing out off position at shooting guard, so John Wall could run the point guard position. He played the whole season in John Wall and DeMarcus Cousins shadows but you could say he was part of the glue that held that team together. As expected for a role player, his stats aren’t overly impressive but what really stands out to me is his assists to turnover ratio. He averaged 3 turnovers a game and only 2.9 assists. This could be because he is playing out of position or because the ball was typically dominated by Wall. I’m curious to know how many turnovers he would average if he was the point guard and was able to dominate the ball. Another thing that scares me about Bledsoe is his height. He is only 6’1 in shoes. On a positive note, Bledsoe is very strong for his size and athletic. Like most picks at this point in the draft, Bledsoe will be drafted off of potential. I think in the long run Bledsoe can be a solid player but it will take him a couple of years to develop.
26. OKC Thunder – Stanley Robinson SF/PF UConn
Stanley Robinson will be a super athletic role player in the NBA. Offensively Stanley isn’t going to impress anybody. His jump shot is inconsistent but it is obvious he has been working on extending his range beyond the three point line. Robinson should work on becoming a defensive specialists and he will always have a place on the court.
27. New Jersey Nets – Terrico White PG/SG Mississippi
Terrico White is an intriguing prospect. At 6’5, White can play both the point guard and shooting guard positions. If he can develop his skills and become a permanent point guard, he could create mismatch problems for many teams.
28. Memphis Grizzlies – Dominique Jones PG/SG South Florida
Dominique Jones is one of the best pure scorers in the draft. At 6’4, Jones is a little undersized for a shooting guard but his competitive nature and scoring ability will have general managers drooling.
29. Orlando Magic – Armon Johnson PG/SG Nevada
Armon Johnson is a combo guard who played under Luke Babbitt’s shadow last season. He averaged 15 points and 5 assists this past season. Thus far, he has had solid interviews and has performed well in his workouts (38.5” vertical and 18 bench reps). Johnson has seen his stock rise fast and many scouts are interested in seeing him go against more competition. The Orlando Magic are in business for a backup point guard that can score. Johnson should be able to fit in and replace Jason Williams.
30. Washington Wizards – Willie Warren PG/SG Oklahoma
Absolutely no player has seen their stock fall more than Willie Warren. Last year Warren was considered an early lock for a top-5 pick this year. After an inconsistent, injury plagued season, Warren is trying to hold on to his spot as a first rounder. I think Warren will get drafted somewhere between picks 25-30. He could potentially be the steal of the draft if he ever returns to his freshmen form.
1. Washington Wizards – John Wall PG Kentucky
This pick doesn’t come as a surprise. As they say, this is a point guard’s league, so why not take the guy that Flip Saunders said will “revolutionize the position.”
Wall is the complete package…He’s a great athlete, he possesses the leadership skills you need in a point guard, he is willing to play hard on the defensive end, he doesn’t have character issues and he has a personality the fans will love.
2. Philadelphia 76ers – Evan Turner SG/SF Ohio St
As I have previously stated, this is my favorite player in the draft. I am 100% sure Evan Turner will go number 2 in the draft, I’m just not sold that the 76ers will be the team drafting him. The 76ers have a bigger need in the paint and Cousins would be the better long term solution. Derrick Favors would also be a better fit for the 76ers. In any case, whether the 76ers keep the pick or trade it, Evan Turner will be the second player selected in this years draft.
3. New Jersey Nets – Derrick Favors PF/C Georgia Tech
I’m going to be honest…I’m not a fan of Derrick Favors. His stats do not impress me, when I watched him play he did not impress me, his personality is boring and he is unproven. But with all that being said, he is still the youngest player in the draft with plenty of time to develop his skills. Defensively I think he is NBA ready, but offensively he scares me. He has all the physical tools to be a very successful player in the NBA, he just has to develop his skills. His maximum jumping reach is 12’, which is scary. I’m beginning to think this guy could be a reincarnation of Dwight Howard. His defensive expertise should compliment Brook Lopez very well.
4. Minnesota Timberwolves – Wesley Johnson SF Syracuse
My poor wolves, we just can’t win. Last year we were one pick away from getting Tyreke Evans and this year we didn’t win the lottery or get the second pick. All is not lost. There is plenty of talent in this draft and we have a lot of needs to address. In my last mock I had Aminu here but his interviews haven’t been going great and he did not test as well as expected at the combine. On the flip side Wesley Johnson tested great and his interviews have been going well. So until these guys start working out against each other, I have Wes Johnson going 4th.
5. Sacramento Kings – DeMarcus Cousins C Kentucky
DeMarcus Cousins is an interesting prospect. He completely dominated in college, almost to the point where he stole the show from John Wall. He tested great at the combine, the only worry people have is his weight in the future. He currently weighs around 290 lbs but claims he is on a strict diet and plans to lose more weight. I don’t doubt his dedication to losing the weight but it is only natural to question if he will be able to keep his weight down throughout his career. Outside of his weight, he has character issues. Even though he typically appears to be all smiles, that is only when things are going his way. Stick him on a bad team and you have to wonder, how will he react over the course of an 82 game season? Cousins has the talent to be the number 2 pick but I think his weight and attitude will cost him. If Cousins matures, I think we are looking at a future all-star.
6. Golden State Warriors – Greg Monroe PF/C Georgetown
Stephen Curry is the future of the Golden State Warriors and probably the only player that isn’t on the trading block. This is a team that is fun to watch but will never win anything with the current roster they have. The Warriors need help in the paint area but must have a guy that fits their system. Greg Monroe can play both the power forward and center positions. Scouts have tagged him as not being as athletic as you would like but no one can deny his exceptional ball handling and passing skills. Monroe would be an immediate upgrade. This is almost too good to be true.
7. Detroit Pistons – Ekpe Udoh PF/C Baylor
In my last mock I had Cole Aldrich here but after the combine, I realized guys like him don’t get drafted this high. He has too many question marks…Will his offensive game ever develop?…Was he only good because he was surrounded by great talent?...Lacking athleticism, can he still be a dominant shot blocker in the NBA?...Where is his missing front tooth?...Just too many questions. As his stock falls, others are on the rise and one is Ekpe Udoh. Ekpe like Cole, is known for his defense but he also is very athletic and isn’t missing any teeth. Udoh grabbed my attention throughout the season, posting solid numbers but after watching him in the tournament, I was sold. I think he will develop into a very good player.
8. LA Clippers – Al-Farouq Aminu SF/PF Wake Forest
The LA Clippers are a team to pay close attention to next season. They have the money to sign a big named free agent this summer. They have a talented roster and can go in many directions. One glaring need is a small forward. Right now I have Aminu’s stock slipping and if he doesn’t impress scouts in his workouts, he very well could still be on the board at pick number 8. If he happens to still be here the Clippers should waste no time selecting him. I am unclear about Aminu’s immediate impact but I think long term he is a sure thing. He has all the tools, a good head on his shoulders and a strong work ethic.
9. Utah Jazz – Patrick Patterson PF Kentucky
There has been speculation that the Jazz want Greg Monroe. I think he would be a good fit with them, but unfortunately for them I don’t think he will be available. The Jazz usually go with hard working, proven, mature, unselfish guys, so who better than Patrick Patterson. He is full of talent and after taking a backseat this season, he is still wowing scouts as he displays his all around game. If Boozer is what the Jazz liked, then they should love Patterson. He is strong, athletic, has a nice mid range game but doesn’t mind banging in the paint.
10. Indiana Pacers – Avery Bradley PG/SG Texas
This pick may come as a bit of a surprise and quite frankly I wasn’t really comfortable making this choice. In a lottery driven by power forwards and centers, I would think the Pacers would go after an athletic big man. Contrary to what I believe, many analysts say point guard is the Pacers biggest need. This wouldn’t be an issue if the Pacers draft either J’rue Holiday, Darren Collison, Ty Lawson or Jeff Teague last year, but instead they fell in love with Tyler Hansbourogh and now they need a point guard and still haven’t solved their issues in the paint. Way to go Larry Bird. Since point guard is the need, and besides Wall, there aren’t any lottery worthy point guards, the Pacers will have to reach again. Avery Bradley is quite a player and recently has seen his stock boom. Right now he has more of a shooting guard’s mentality but that isn’t anything that can’t be corrected in the future.
11. New Orleans Hornets – Cole Aldrich C Kansas
Last year Cole Aldrich was projected to be a top 5 pick in this draft. When you look at his numbers, you can’t really argue with that. But once you actually see him play, you wonder if his game will translate to the NBA. Don’t get me wrong, Cole still belongs in the lottery but I wouldn’t take him before pick 8. I think the Hornets would be a good situation for Aldrich. He wouldn’t be asked to start right away, giving him time to develop and polish his game. As a role player, he may be ready to contribute this year.
12. Memphis Grizzlies – Ed Davis PF UNC
The Memphis Grizzlies made tremendous strides this season and almost landed a playoff spot. It is important that they continue to build and develop their young core. If Rudy Gay decides to bail for more money this offseason, the Grizzlies will have a hole to fill on the wing. I think that hole should be filled by another veteran, so free agency is the way to go. A back up point guard would be nice but there are none worthy at this pick. If Ed Davis is still on the board at 12 the Grizzlies should grab him and prep him for life after Zach Randolph.
13. Toronto Raptors – Hassan Whiteside C Marshall
Hassan Whiteside is the most intriguing player in the draft to me. His potential is unbelievable but he still has a lot of question marks. His length (7’7” wingspan), athleticism and shot blocking ability (5.4 blks per game this season) will get him on the court but if he ever develops his offensive game he could be a future all-star. To me he is the ultimate boom or bust pick of this years draft. The Toronto Raptors will most likely lose Chris Bosh to free agency this year, so they need to start preparing for that. With Bosh gone they have no choice but to address the C/PF position. Whiteside by no means is ready to be a major contributor this season but he and Andrea Bargnani could make a nice combo in the future.
14. Houston Rockets – Luke Babbitt SF Nevada
Luke Babbitt is the winner of the 2010 NBA Combine. He recently has seen his stock rise as scouts really analyze his game. The guy is a flat out scorer and has a very polished offensive game. He is 6’8 and is much more athletic than anyone imagined, leading people to believe he could be a solid defender at the next level. Babbitt is relatively new to me, since he played at Nevada I didn’t get to watch him very much. Even with his 37” vertical, I’m not ready to jump on the bandwagon. I think Babbitt has the potential to be a solid role player for Rockets. His size and scoring ability will add much needed depth to their bench.
15. Milwaukee Bucks – Xavier Henry SG Kansas
Sleeper alert! I am guaranteeing that if Xavier Henry falls to the Bucks, he will be a future all-star. Despite statistics at Kansas, Henry can flat out play. Unlike most draft prospects, he already has a NBA ready body. He also has a high basketball IQ and is lethal from outside. If he is blessed to have Brandon Jennings as his point guard, he will be an impact player in this league.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves – James Anderson SG OK St
James Anderson is another prospect that can plain and simple score the basketball. I would argue that he is the best pure scorer in the draft. He is 6’5 and none of his measurements blow you away and neither will his athleticism but his 22 points per game, 2 three pointers made per game and 81% free throw shooting didn’t happen by accident. The Timberwolves are really lacking quality players on the wing and if they can grab Wes Johnson and then come back and grab James Anderson, consider this a successful draft.
17. Chicago Bulls – Donatas Motiejunas PF/C International
To be honest, I know very little about this prospect. I know he is about 6’11, he plays power forward, he likes to play on the wing rather than in the paint, and his stock is falling. I wonder if his stock is falling or if other people’s are just rising. I know last year scouts projected he would be a top 5 pick this year. So much for that…He sounds like he could be like most Euro big men. His ceiling is Dirk Nowitzki but he is probably closer to Andrea Bargnani. If he is doesn’t pan out at all, we can call him Darko 2.0. For his sake I hope he is like Bargnani because I already know he won’t be like Dirk. There have been so many players compared to Dirk or heralded as the next Dirk but we have yet to actually have a next Dirk. In the future, the Bulls can use his size and perimeter scoring to stretch the floor.
18. Miami Heat – Daniel Orton C Kentucky
Daniel Orton is an interesting prospect. If you look at his numbers, you might ask why was he invited to the combine, never mind be considered a first round pick. Potential, potential, potential…To be fair, Orton didn’t play very much at Kentucky and it wasn’t because he’s not capable, but because he was playing behind DeMarcus Cousins. Orton’s game is defense. He eats up space, clogs the lane and protects the basketball hoop. I think Orton is a “what you see is what you get” kind of player. I don’t ever expect him to be much on offense but his intensity and defensive awareness can be game changing one day. Thankfully for the Heat they no longer have to over pay Jermaine O’Neil, so Orton could see the floor earlier than expected.
19. Boston Celtics – Paul George SF/PF Fresno St
Paul George is an impressive prospect who has done only the right things since the draft process started. He is a 6’8 small forward with a long wingspan. Offensively he is an impressive shooter. He averaged 2 made three pointers last year while averaging 42% from the field. He is very athletic and thus far has looked very smooth in his workouts. A player like George has a high ceiling because of the unique skills he has and his ability to spread the floor. If he continues to impress in his workouts, some say he could go as early as late lottery. It is no secret that the Celtics are an aged group. It is time for them to start adding talented youth to their team so Rondo has something to play with in the future.
20. San Antonio Spurs – Gordon Hayward SF Butler
I know there is a lot of hype surrounding Gordon Hayward but I think he should be drafted in the 17-23 range. If he goes to San Antonio, I think he will go to a great situation. The Spurs need to change the makeup of their roster and add some youth. Offensively Gordon has a lot of skills any coach would like. At 6’8, he has great size to play the small forward position. His basketball IQ is off the charts and you have to love his passion for the game. He possesses the quickness to get to the lane and has an impressive mid range jump shot. His 3 points shooting percentage dropped since his freshmen year but I think that is because defenses put more of a focus on shutting him down. In the NBA he will get plenty of open shots as a role player. He is only 20 years old and has plenty of time to develop. Sitting behind Richard Jefferson for a couple years should be good for him.
21. OKC Thunder – Larry Sanders PF/C VCU
The VCU standout, Larry Sanders, has seen his stock take a slight dive since the combine. There have been reports that he is not the high leaper that many expected. Regardless of his vertical he still is 6’10 and has a long 7’5’’ wingspan. He was an effective rebounder and shot eraser in college and he is projected to do the same in the NBA. Sanders would be another athlete with solid defensive awareness the Thunder can add to their roster. His size is much need in the paint area and his shot blocking ability will put him in the rotation early.
22. Portland Trailblazers – Damion James SF Texas
At 22, Damion James is probably one of the oldest prospects in the draft. The good news is that with his age he has plenty of experience. This year he displayed his knack for scoring and rebounding. He often displayed his heart and determination when his team was struggling but he never quit. It is safe to say he was the best player on a team that didn’t come anywhere close to living up to expectations. What that says about him, I am not sure but I do know he is very skilled and can be a solid role player at the next level.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves – Solomon Alabi C Florida St
Solomon is a very large individual. As far as his skills, he is still a major project. I say think Hasheem Thabeet, maybe even less skilled. The good news for Solomon is that he hasn’t been playing basketball very long, so he still learning the game. The only thing he really stands out at doing is shot blocking. He is a poor rebounder for his size and not much of an offensive threat. The Timberwolves have three first round picks, so if they hit on the first two they can afford to take a chance on a guy like Alabi. If anything his shot blocking ability would add a totally new dimension to the team. I don’t see Solomon being ready to play for at least three years but he has the ability to be an elite shot blocker.
24. Atlanta Hawks – Kevin Seraphin C International
This is another international prospect that I know very little about. From what I gather, Seraphin is a 6’10 French super athlete. He is only 20 years old and lacks experience. Seraphin is a strong rebounder and is one of those low risk, high reward type of picks. Many believe that with experience he will blossom into quite a player.
25. Memphis Grizzlies – Eric Bledsoe PG Kentucky
In my opinion Eric Bledsoe came out too early. I think he could have used another year of college basketball to develop his skills. Bledsoe is interesting to evaluate because even though he played a lot of minutes, he was essentially playing out off position at shooting guard, so John Wall could run the point guard position. He played the whole season in John Wall and DeMarcus Cousins shadows but you could say he was part of the glue that held that team together. As expected for a role player, his stats aren’t overly impressive but what really stands out to me is his assists to turnover ratio. He averaged 3 turnovers a game and only 2.9 assists. This could be because he is playing out of position or because the ball was typically dominated by Wall. I’m curious to know how many turnovers he would average if he was the point guard and was able to dominate the ball. Another thing that scares me about Bledsoe is his height. He is only 6’1 in shoes. On a positive note, Bledsoe is very strong for his size and athletic. Like most picks at this point in the draft, Bledsoe will be drafted off of potential. I think in the long run Bledsoe can be a solid player but it will take him a couple of years to develop.
26. OKC Thunder – Stanley Robinson SF/PF UConn
Stanley Robinson will be a super athletic role player in the NBA. Offensively Stanley isn’t going to impress anybody. His jump shot is inconsistent but it is obvious he has been working on extending his range beyond the three point line. Robinson should work on becoming a defensive specialists and he will always have a place on the court.
27. New Jersey Nets – Terrico White PG/SG Mississippi
Terrico White is an intriguing prospect. At 6’5, White can play both the point guard and shooting guard positions. If he can develop his skills and become a permanent point guard, he could create mismatch problems for many teams.
28. Memphis Grizzlies – Dominique Jones PG/SG South Florida
Dominique Jones is one of the best pure scorers in the draft. At 6’4, Jones is a little undersized for a shooting guard but his competitive nature and scoring ability will have general managers drooling.
29. Orlando Magic – Armon Johnson PG/SG Nevada
Armon Johnson is a combo guard who played under Luke Babbitt’s shadow last season. He averaged 15 points and 5 assists this past season. Thus far, he has had solid interviews and has performed well in his workouts (38.5” vertical and 18 bench reps). Johnson has seen his stock rise fast and many scouts are interested in seeing him go against more competition. The Orlando Magic are in business for a backup point guard that can score. Johnson should be able to fit in and replace Jason Williams.
30. Washington Wizards – Willie Warren PG/SG Oklahoma
Absolutely no player has seen their stock fall more than Willie Warren. Last year Warren was considered an early lock for a top-5 pick this year. After an inconsistent, injury plagued season, Warren is trying to hold on to his spot as a first rounder. I think Warren will get drafted somewhere between picks 25-30. He could potentially be the steal of the draft if he ever returns to his freshmen form.
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